Forecast Face-off

HydroForecast Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

Observed and Forecasted Inflows at Wilder Dam

Evaluation report ↗

Day 1

Each forecast's number for the day you're scheduling — click one to load it.

1,000 (min flow)10,000 = turbine max · above that spills
Day-ahead price–
Your bid–
Current and forecasted reservoir elevation
380.5
379.5
optimal elevation
380.00
Green band = FERC license  ·  Teal line = pond now Colored ticks = where each forecast lands you tomorrow, in feet
Real Wilder inflow & four real day-ahead forecasts (PNNL / Great River Hydro evaluation, Jan 2024). Pond physics from GRH elevation–volume tables. Prices: ISO-NE Vermont-zone day-ahead LMPs, Jan 1–5 2024.

Week complete

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Your week, day by day

What you committed, what the river delivered, and what it cost you.

How the forecasts actually performed

n = 5 days — illustrative, not a rigorous skill claim.

Real Wilder inflow and four real day-ahead forecasts from the PNNL / Great River Hydro evaluation. Energy prices are real ISO-NE Vermont-zone day-ahead LMPs for these dates. Operating thresholds — including the 380 ft target elevation — are representative estimates, not official Great River Hydro license values.

Forecast Face-off leaderboard

The best weeks at Wilder Dam. Score is revenue, minus fines, plus the value of the water left in the pond.