Energy trading and hydropower

Trade with clarity,
bid with confidence

Hydro generation is one of the biggest swing variables in power markets — and one of the hardest to price. HydroForecast gives traders in hydro-driven markets a clear view of what's coming, from tomorrow's bid to next year's hedge.

Gain an edge in hydro-driven markets
with HydroForecast

Hydro supply drives power prices — but it doesn't move on a clean schedule, and most models break down at the extremes that move markets most. HydroForecast closes that gap with theory-guided AI.

Revenue

Capture more value from every trade

Schedule generation and bid into peak-price windows with a clearer read on supply. Reduce imbalance penalties and recover revenue otherwise lost to unplanned spill.

33%

fewer forecast errors vs. NOAA benchmarks

See the CAISO case study →

Risk management

Hedge against real ranges, not single numbers

Probabilistic forecasts show the full range of likely outcomes — so you can size short-term hedges to your actual risk tolerance and build longer-dated positions on seasonal and annual signal, not historical patterns alone.

Limit risk

using confidence bands to match your risk tolerance

See how we visualize uncertainty →

Peak accuracy

Plan for extreme generation swings

Atmospheric rivers, droughts, and snowpack anomalies create the largest generation swings — and the biggest price dislocations. Theory-guided AI stays accurate through these extremes precisely when simpler models break down.

40%

more accurate than the RFC
during high-flow atmospheric rivers

Watch the webinar with Sonoma Water →

One forecast partner, multiple trading horizons

HydroForecast delivers precise, AI-powered streamflow and hydropower generation forecasts at the node, zone, and market level. Whether you're bidding into tomorrow's market or hedging a year out, it's one forecast partner across every horizon that matters — no stitching together separate tools.

Short-term

Improve bidding into tomorrow's market with hourly forecasts for the next 10 days.

Seasonal

Strengthen hedges on this season's position with daily forecasts for the next 90 days.

Annual

Plan next year's capacity or budget with daily forecasts up to a year out.


Regional power supply signals for the Columbia River Basin

The Columbia River Basin drives more hydropower generation than any river system in North America. HydroForecast now delivers a unified, basin-wide natural streamflow signal across major U.S. and Canadian generation points — built for traders and analysts who need a regional view of power supply for seasonal and annual hedging, not just single-site day-ahead forecasts.

Ask us about regional forecasts →
Map of Columbia River Basin regional forecast points across the Pacific Northwest


Why traders choose HydroForecast

Built for the extremes
that move markets

Theory-guided AI stays accurate through the storms, droughts, and snowpack anomalies that create the biggest price dislocations, not just steady-state conditions.

How HydroForecast works →

Continuous coverage,
no blackout windows

A multi-model ensemble keeps signals live even when gauges or weather data drop out, so you're never trading without a forecast during the volatility that matters most.

See the forecast architecture →

Data transparency,
no black box

When a forecast shifts, you can understand why and build trust in the data before you adjust a position and risk capital, not just take the number on faith.

Explore forecast features →


Forecasting resources for energy traders

Ready to improve your trading performance?

Book a demo